Peer-reviewed articles
Bulwarks or Enablers? Political Elites’ Attitudes to Political Candidates with Armed Group Linkages
Comparative Political Studies, forthcoming.
Forecasting electoral violence
International Journal of Forecasting 42(2), pp. 602-615. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.09.003
Mass Mobilization in the Modern Era: Introducing the Opposition Movements and Groups (OMG) Dataset, 1789-2019
Comparative Political Studies. DOI: 10.1177/00104140251369330
Misinformation, Narratives, and Intergroup Attitudes: Evidence from India
The Journal of Politics 87(2), pp. 757-773. DOI: 10.1086/732979
The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature
World Development 187, DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106806
Do the Lights Stay on? Deployment and Withdrawal of Peacekeepers and Their Effect on Local Economic Development
British Journal of Political Science, DOI: 10.1017/s0007123424000516
Militarized elections and citizens’ support for democratic rights: evidence from India
Democratization 32(4), pp. 865-887. DOI: 10.1080/13510347.2024.2421831
Viewing Violence Through a Partisan Lens: How Electoral Violence Shapes Citizens’ Support for Democracy
Government and Opposition, 60(2), pp. 313-334. DOI: 10.1017/gov.2024.17
Violent Elections and Citizens’ Support for Democratic Constraints on the Executive: Evidence From Nigeria
Comparative Political Studies, 57(4), pp. 613-643. DOI: 10.1177/00104140231178730
Voter Intimidation as a Tool of Mobilization or Demobilization? Evidence from West Bengal, India
Journal of Conflict Resolution. DOI: 10.1177/00220027241298890
Could vote buying be socially desirable? Exploratory analyses of a ’failed’ list experiment
Quality & Quantity, Vol.58, pp. 2337-2355. DOI: 10.1007/s11135-023-01740-6
Electoral Violence, Partisan Identity, and Perceptions of Election Quality: A Survey Experiment in West Bengal, India
Comparative Politics. 55(1), pp. 47-69 DOI: 10.5129/001041522x16430324169141
A conditional model of local income shock and civil conflict
Journal of Politics 83(1), pp. 354-366. DOI: 10.1086/709671
Introducing the Deadly Electoral Conflict Dataset (DECO)
Journal of Conflict Resolution. 66(1), pp. 162-185. DOI: 10.1177/00220027211021620
Introducing the Ethnic One-sided Violence Dataset
Conflict Management and Peace Science 38(1), pp. 109-126. DOI: 10.1177/0738894219863256
Which Institutions Matter? Re-visiting the Democratic Civil Peace
International Studies Quarterly 65(1), pp. 223-237. DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqaa076
Protecting the Vote? Peacekeeping Presence and the Risk of Electoral Violence
British Journal of Political Science. 52(3), pp. 1113-1132 DOI: 10.1017/s0007123421000132
Electoral violence and the legacy of authoritarian rule in Kenya and Zambia
Journal of Peace Research 57(1), pp. 111-125. DOI: 10.1177/0022343319884983
Mapping blue helmets: Introducing the Geocoded Peacekeeping Operations (Geo-PKO) dataset
Journal of Peace Research 57(2), pp. 360-370. DOI: 10.1177/0022343319871978
Political party strength and electoral violence
Journal of Peace Research 57(1), pp. 140-155. DOI: 10.1177/0022343319885177
The Consequences of Contention: Understanding the Aftereffects of Political Conflict and Violence
Annual Review of Political Science, Vol. 22, pp. 361-373. DOI: 10.1146/annurev-polisci-050317-064057
Protection through Presence: How Peacekeepers Reduce Violence against Civilians
International Organization 73(1), pp. 103-131. DOI: 10.1017/S0020818318000346
VIEWS: A political violence early-warning system
Journal of Peace Research 56(2), pp. 155-174. DOI: 10.1177/0022343319823860
The Rise of Rebel Contenders: Barriers to entry and fragmentation in civil wars
Journal of Peace Research 55(5), pp. 551-565. DOI: 10.1177/0022343318767497
Electoral Institutions and Electoral Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa
British Journal of Political Science 46(2), pp. 297-320. DOI: 10.1017/s0007123414000179
Offsetting Losses: Bargaining Power and Rebel Attacks on Peacekeepers
International Studies Quarterly 60(4), pp. 611-623. DOI: 10.1093/isq/sqw017
Civil conflict sensitivity to growing-season drought
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113(44), pp. 12391-12396. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1607542113
Farming or Fighting? Agricultural Price Shocks and Civil War in Africa
World Development Vol. 67, pp. 525-534. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.10.032
One Effect to Rule Them All? A Comment on Climate and Conflict
Climatic Change 127(3-4), pp. 391-397. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1
Political Corruption and Institutional Stability
Studies in Comparative International Development 49(3), pp. 267-299. DOI: 10.1007/s12116-014-9155-1
Weakening Your Enemy. A Disaggregated Study of Violence against Civilians in Africa
Journal of Conflict Resolution 58(7), pp. 1230-1257. DOI: 10.1177/0022002713492648
Socioeconomic Inequality and Communal Conflict. A Disaggregated Analysis of Sub-Saharan Africa, 1990-2008
International Interactions 40(5), pp. 737-762. DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2014.917373
Pre-designing democracy: institutional design of interim governments and democratization in 15 post-conflict societies
Democratization 21(2), pp. 335-358. DOI: 10.1080/13510347.2012.729044
Property Rights in Dictatorships: Kings Protect Property Better than Generals or Party Bosses
Contemporary Politics 19(1), pp. 94-114. DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2013.773205
Including Peace: The Influence of Electoral Management Bodies on Electoral Violence
Journal of Eastern African Studies 7(4), pp. 713-731. DOI: 10.1080/17531055.2013.841024
Rebels against Rebels: Explaining Violence Between Rebel Groups
Journal of Conflict Resolution 56(4), pp. 604-628. DOI: 10.1177/0022002712439496
Climate Triggers: Rainfall Anomalies, Vulnerability and Communal Conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa
Political Geography 31(7), pp. 444-453. DOI: 10.1016/j.polgeo.2012.08.004
Generals, Dictators and Kings: Authoritarian Regimes and Civil Conflict 1973-2004
Conflict Management and Peace Science 27(3), pp. 195-218. DOI: 10.1177/0738894210366507
Is the Hidden Hand an Iron Fist? Capitalism and Civil Conflict
Journal of Peace Research 47(3), pp. 287-298. DOI: 10.1177/0022343310362167
Buying Peace? Oil, Corruption and Civil War, 1984-99
Journal of Peace Research 47(2), pp. 199-218. DOI: 10.1177/0022343308100715
Coercion, Co-optation, or Cooperation? State Capacity and the Risk of Civil War, 1961-2004
Conflict Management and Peace Science 26(1), pp. 5-25. DOI: 10.1177/0738894208097664
Book chapters
Civil peace and ‘good’ institutions: Mutually reinforcing relationships, or a more complicated story?
In: Elgar Companion to Peace and the Sustainable Development Goals, edited by H. Hegre, K. Petrova and S. Döring, Edward Elgar Publishing.
The Quality of Government and Civil Conflict
Oxford University Press Handbook on the Quality of Government. Ed. by M. Grimes, B. Rothstein, M. Bauhr, and A. Bågenholm. Oxford: Oxford University Press. DOI: 10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198858218.013.38
Ethnic Politics and the Roots of Electoral Violence in Kenya
Between Democracy and Big Man Politics: The Micro-dynamics of Electoral Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa. Ed. by J. Bjarnesen and M. Söderberg Kovacs. London: Zed Books. DOI: 10.5040/9781350223837.ch-001
Violence against Civilians and Actor Characteristics
Peace and Conflict 2018. Ed. by D. Backer, R. Bhavnani, and P. Huth. Routledge.
Spatial patterns of violence against civilians
Peace and Conflict 2017. Ed. by D. A. Backer, J. Wilkenfeld, and P. K. Huth. UK: Routledge. DOI: 10.4324/9781351211666-5
När val leder till konflikt
Krig och fred. Riksbankens Jubileumsfonds årsbok. Makadam bok.
Violence Against Civilians in Civil War
Peace and Conflict 2016. Ed. by D. A. Backer, J. Wilkenfeld, and P. K. Huth. UK: Routledge.
Transnational Dimensions of African Civil Wars and the Triple-R Framework
From Intra-State War to Durable Peace. Conflict and Its Resolution in Africa after the Cold War. Ed. by T. Ohlson. Dordrecht: Republic of Letters Publishing.
Building Peace, Creating Conflict?
Building Peace, Creating Conflict? Conflictual Dimensions of Local and International Peacebuilding. Ed. by H. Fjelde and K. Höglund. Lund: Nordic Academic Press. DOI: 10.2307/jj.919487.4
Post-Conflict Democracy and Conflict Recurrence
Peace and Conflict. Ed. by J. J. Hewitt, J. Wilkenfeld, and T. R. Gurr. London: Paradigm Publishers.
Books and edited volumes
Fjelde, H. and K. Höglund, eds. (2011b). Building Peace, Creating Conflict? Conflictual Dimensions of Local and International Peacebuilding. Lund: Nordic Academic Press. DOI: 10.2307/jj.919487
Fjelde, H. (2009b). Sins of Omission and Commission. The Quality of Government and Civil Conflict. PhD dissertation, Report No. 88. Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University.
Teaching and professional writing
Orsaker till krig och väpnade konflikter
Om krig och fred: En introduktion till freds- och konfliktstudier. Ed. by K. Aggestam and K. Höglund. Lund: Studentlitteratur.
Electoral Violence: The Emergence of a Research Field
APSA Comparative Democratization Newsletter 14(2).
Book review: Political Institutions under Dictatorship by Jennifer Gandhi
Journal of Peace Research 48(4).
Book review: High Stakes and Stakeholders: Oil Conflict and Security in Nigeria by Kenneth Omeje
Journal of Peace Research 45(4).
Fjelde, H. (2005). African Peace and Conflict Research 1997-2004. Tech. rep. Stockholm: Swedish Development Agency.
Public writing
Vi behöver stå upp för den akademiska friheten även i Sverige
Forskning och Framsteg, Apr. 2025.
”Israels agerande i Gaza spelar Hamas i händerna” DN Debatt, Dagens Nyheter W. L. Hultman, K. Klaus and S. Hatz, (Nov. 2023)
Public perception of election quality and security provisions in the Nigerian 2023 election
Policy brief. Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, 2025.
Democracy faces an uphill battle to defend democracy
Political Violence at a Glance. W. Dahl, M., S. Dahlum, and I. Rudolfsen (Oct. 2022a).
Sivilsamfunnet jobber i motbakke for å forsvare demokratiet
Morgenbladet. W. Dahl, M., S. Dahlum, and I. Rudolfsen (Nov. 2022b).
Et folkelig opprør kan bli Putins skjebne
NRK Ytring. W. Rød, E. G., M. Dahl, and H. Gjerløw (Mar. 2022).
How history explains election violence: Kenya and Zambia tell the story
The Conversation. W. Brosché, J. , and K. Höglund (Feb. 2020b).
Uppskjutet val i Nigeria ökar risken för våldsamheter
Utrikesmagasinet, W. Angerbrandt, H. and J. Kotajoki (Feb. 2019).
Voter perceptions in the Nigerian 2019 election
Policy brief. Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University. W. J. Kotajoki, H. Angerbrandt, and N. Kerr (2019).
The UN’s Defining Challenge: Peacekeeping and Protection of Civilians
Political Violence at a Glance. W. L. Hultman, and D. Nilsson (Oct. 2018).
Here’s One Way to Prevent Electoral Violence
Monkey Cage, Washington Post. W. K. Höglund (Apr. 2016c).
När val leder till konflikt
Krig Fred: RJ:s årsbok 2016/2017. W. K. Höglund Ed. by J. Björkman and A. Jarrick. Göteborg/Stockholm: Makadam förlag, pp. 59-66.
Våld vid valurnorna vad beror det på?
Mänsklig säkerhet. W. K. Höglund (June 2016).
9 punkter för global fred
Uppsala Nya Tidning, w. Brosché, J. et al. (Oct. 2015).
Ethnicity and Collective Targeting in Civil War
Political Violence at a Glance. W. L. Hultman (Apr. 2015).
Fredslobotomi eller hållbar demokrati? Kenyas framtid osäker trots fredliga val
Internationella studier 2, pp. 10-12. W. K. Höglund (2013).